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Profit & Loss

Yr to Mar 2008 2009 2010
Sales Revenue 1,600.0 1,749.7 1,227.9
EBITDA 245.2 231.0 (16.0)
Depreciation & Amort (61.5) n/a n/a
EBIT 183.7 231.0 (16.0)
Net Interest Expense 1.2 (4.4) (4.4)
Profit Before Tax 184.9 226.7 (20.4)
Tax (39.3) (28.4) (72.3)
Adjusted NPAT 145.5 198.3 (92.7)
Reported NPAT (78.0) 198.3 (92.7)

Ratio Analysis

Yr to Mar 2008 2009 2010
Price/Earnings  (x) 23.1 10.2 (34.3)
EV/EBITDA  (x) 11.8 9.3 (21.4)
Dividend Yield  (%) 3.6 0.0 0.0
EBITDA Margin  (%) 15.3 13.2 (1.3)
EBIT Margin  (%) 11.5 13.2 (1.3)
Net Profit Margin  (%) 9.1 11.3 (7.6)
ROE  (%) (65.9) (125.4) 72.0
ROA  (%) 6.5 7.6 (3.7)
ROIC  (%) (835.4) 113.3 291.1
Net Debt/Equity  (%) n/a n/a n/a
Interest Cover  (x) n/a 52.9 n/a

Cashflow Summary

Yr to Mar 2008 2009 2010
Receipts from Customers n/a n/a n/a
Net Operating Cash Flow 347.8 (65.8) 199.9
Capex (41.9) (38.0) (55.1)
Acquisitions & Investments n/a n/a n/a
Sale of Invest. & Subsid. n/a n/a n/a
Net Investing Cashflow (41.9) (38.0) (55.1)
Proceeds from Issues 3.6 0.1 11.0
Dividends Paid (137.5) (50.3) n/a
Net Financial Cashflow (277.1) 36.4 (173.6)
Net Increase Cash 28.8 (67.4) (28.8)
Cash At Beginning 37.1 51.5 46.3
Exchange Rate Adjust (27.3) 77.1 3.5
Cash At End 38.6 61.7 21.0

Multiple Analysis

Yr to Mar 2008 2009 2010
Market cap  (M)     2,835
Enterprise value  ($M)     2,938.4
EV/EBIT  (x) 16.0 12.7 (<99)
EV/EBITDA  (x) 12.0 12.7 (<99)
EV/EBITDA  All Ind  (x) n/a 3.5 5.4
EV/EBITDA  rel All Ind  (x) n/a 3.6 (34.0)
P/E  (x) 20.3 14.3 (30.4)
P/E  rel All Ind  (x) n/a 1.2 (2.6)
P/E  rel All Ind ex banks  (x) n/a 1.1 (2.6)
P/E  sector  (x) n/a 12.5 3.0
P/E  rel sector  (x) n/a 1.1 (10.1)

Balance Sheet Summary

Yr to Mar 2008 2009 2010
Cash & Equivalent 84.7 135.5 70.2
Receivables 143.1 162.1 169.2
Inventories 195.8 187.5 162.8
Other Current Assets 156.9 191.0 104.9
Prop. Plant & Equipment 824.0 1,019.6 775.8
Intangibles n/a n/a n/a
Other Non-Current Assets 970.2 1,066.8 1,095.9
Total Assets 2,374.6 2,762.5 2,378.9
Interest Bearing Debt 288.1 471.4 168.1
Other Liabilities 2,307.2 2,449.3 2,339.4
Total Liabilities 2,595.3 2,920.7 2,507.6
Net Assets (220.7) (158.2) (128.7)
Total Shareholder Equity (220.7) (158.2) (128.7)

Assumptions

Dividends

Date
Dividend
29-May-08
8.36c 0% Franked Payable 11-Jul-08
28-Nov-07
13.71c 0% Franked Payable 18-Dec-07
07-Jun-07
17.89c 0% Franked Payable 10-Jul-07
07-Jun-06
5.42c 0% Franked Payable 06-Jul-06
23-Nov-05
5.41c 0% Franked Payable 16-Dec-05
03-Jun-05
5.8725c 0% Franked Payable 01-Jul-05
04-Jun-04
3.207869c 0% Franked Payable 01-Jul-04
08-Jan-03
3.21c 0.00% Franked Payable 30-Jan-03
09-Oct-02
6.88c 0.00% Franked Payable 01-Nov-02
23-May-01
9.50c 0.00% Franked Payable 14-Jun-01

Our projections assume that payments made by the AICF commence in FY09. We include the currency impact of asbestos-related assets and liabilities above the line in our forecasts. We no longer forecast non-currency changes in the actual asbestos liability.

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