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Industry:
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Fiscal Year-End:
Jun 10

Centennial Coal Company Ltd (CEY) is an Australian thermal coal producer with numerous operating mines in the western, Central Coast and southern NSW coalfields. Around 80% of coal produced is sold to domestic power stations under long-term contracts, while the remainder is exported principally to Asia. Export sales are expected to grow in coming years as production increases at CEY's export-oriented mines.

Centennial Coal Company Ltd was established in 1989 and listed on the ASX in 1994 as a producer of thermal coal, principally supplying the NSW power industry. In 1998, CEY acquired the Clarence and Blue Mountains Colliery. In 2001, it acquired 50% of the Springvale mine and, in July 2002, the $331M Powercoal Pty Ltd acquisition lifted production capacity to 14Mtpa (CEY 12.5Mt).

Coal operations comprise numerous operating mines. All of the mines are located in the western, Hunter and southern regions of NSW. Centennial is part owner of coal loaders at Port Kembla and Newcastle Port.

CEY is the largest independent pure coal producer listed on the ASX, with coal sourced from Australia. It provides elements of a utility-type investment vehicle in that the majority of its revenues are linked to long-term AUD contracts with domestic electricity generators. It has dominance of supply in the key western and Central Coast districts of NSW. CEY also has exposure to the more volatile export markets via around 20% of production, although this is likely to increase in the future.

About 75% of CEY's current production is sold to domestic electricity producers under indexed, long-term AUD price arrangements, representing around 40% of coal supplied to the NSW industry. CEY is the single largest supplier. The company operates in a highly competitive industry where producers range from global giants (Rio Tinto, BHP, Xstrata) to small private operators.

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Market Statistics

Market Cap ($M):
1,382.1
Equiv. Shares (M):
388.1
% All Ords:
0.13
12Mth Range ($):
1.51 - 4.24
Turnover ($M pa):
2,641.7
Index:
S&P/ASX 100
Sector:
Energy
Industry Group:
Energy
Industry:
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Sub Industry:
Coal & Consumable Fuels

Last 5 Market Sensitive Announcements

Calendar Of Events

Date
Event
19-Feb-10
Reporting Date for Half Yearly Result
27-Nov-09
AGM Date for Final Year Result
08-Oct-09
Dividend Date Payable for Final Year Result (4.0c 100% franked)
24-Sep-09
Dividend Record Date for Final Year Result (4.0c 100% franked)
18-Sep-09
Dividend Ex-Dividend Date for Final Year Result (4.0c 100% franked)

Directors

Name
Position
Dr K J Moss
Chairman
R G Cameron
Managing Director
P Moy
Director
C Brenner
Non-Executive Director
B Allan
Non-Executive Director
Mr N Sneddon
Director
Mr R Grellman
Director

Management

Name
Position
R G Cameron
Managing Director
R Knight
Marketing Manager
R Dougall
Chief Financial Officer
D Moult
General Manager Operations
T Macko
GM Finance & Administration and Co. Secretary
M Clyde
GM Strategy and Development

Substantial Shareholders

Name
% Holding
Barclays Global Investors Australia Limited
11.3
M&G Group
6.8
M&G Investment Funds
5.1

Consensus Recommendation Summary


0

0

6

5

4
Sell Under Perf. Hold Out Perf. Buy

Number of Brokers in Recommendation Summary: 15

Consensus Earnings

FY10 FY11
Consensus EPS1 (c) 16.8 32.3
EPS Growth (%)   92.6
P/E Ratio (x) 21.0 10.9
P/E Rel. All Ords (x) 1.42 0.89
P/E Rel. Sector (x) 0.65 0.58
Number of Brokers in Earnings Survey: 11 12

1. Consensus EPS is generally "reported EPS" but will vary as to whether it is on a pre or post preference earnings basis. This number is not always on the same basis as the Aegis EPS.

Historical Forecast Earnings And Recommendations

Consensus Recommendations

Consensus information provided by Reuters.

Consensus EPS Forecasts 1

1. Consensus EPS is generally "reported EPS" but will vary as to whether it is on a pre or post preference earnings basis. This number is not always on the same basis as the Aegis EPS.

Peer Recommendation Comparison

  P/E (x) EPS Chg (%) Dividend Yield (%) MktCap ($M) Price ($) Consensus Rec
  09A 09A 09A    
BHP Billiton Limited 14.4 (8.7) 3.0 221,958.0 39.60 Out Perf.
Rio Tinto n/a n/a n/a 131,531.7 67.18 Out Perf.
Fortescue Metals 19.6 n/a 0.0 14,805.9 4.56 Hold
OZ Minerals Limited n/a n/a n/a 3,246.2 0.99 Out Perf.
Centennial Coal 16.4 3.1 3.1 1,436.4 3.52 Out Perf.

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