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Industry:
Media
Fiscal Year-End:
Jun 10

Fairfax (FXJ) publishes The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and The Australian Financial Review. In 2004, FXJ acquired INL's NZ publishing assets, granting it control of major NZ mastheads. It also has a stable of community and regional newspapers, as well as specialist magazines. Fairfax Digital provides online news, classified and auction websites. In 2007, FXJ merged with Rural Press and later that year acquired Southern Cross Broadcasting's metro radio.

John Fairfax & Son listed in 1956 with The Sydney Morning Herald (est.1831) and The Age (est.1854). In 1987, Warwick Fairfax privatised it, but receivership in 1990 ended the family's 149-year relationship. Conrad Black's Tourang syndicate relisted Fairfax in 1992. In May 2007, Fairfax Media merged with Rural Press, marking a return by the family via major shareholder John B. Fairfax, who owns about 14% of the merged company.

Over the past few years, FXJ has expanded its presence in the media sector, diversifying its exposure into metro publishing, rural and regional publishing, online and radio. The media sector is evolving with ongoing structural changes. Print circulation has been trending downwards at a rate of about 1% per annum, whereas online has been growing strongly in both display and classified advertising, although the slowing economy has interrupted this growth profile.

FXJ operates Australia's premier newspaper franchise, targeting the AB demographic. It is the only local broadsheet paper in the Melbourne and Sydney markets. Its competitor, News Limited, has tabloid formats, with the exception of The Australian. FXJ has made a significant investment in building up its online presence. FXJ's suite of online assets, metro newspapers, radio and regional publishing represents a more resilient media business with lower earnings volatility.

FXJ's customers are advertisers and readers. Advertisers range from national display advertisers to classified customers (selling cars, real estate and companies seeking employees). FXJ confronts direct competition from News Limited via The Australian (broadsheet) and its tabloids (although they are targeting a slightly different market from FXJ's broadsheets). The suburban newspapers also provide competition for classifieds.

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Market Statistics

Market Cap ($M):
4,057
Equiv. Shares (M):
2,353
% All Ords:
0.33
12Mth Range ($):
0.80 - 1.89
Turnover ($M pa):
4,969
Index:
S&P/ASX 100
Sector:
Consumer Discretionary
Industry Group:
Media
Industry:
Media
Sub Industry:
Publishing

Calendar Of Events

Date
Event
22-Feb-10
Reporting Date for Half Yearly Result
24-Aug-09
Reporting Date for Final Year Result
19-Mar-09
Dividend Date Payable for Half Yearly Result (2c 75% franked)
05-Mar-09
Dividend Record Date for Half Yearly Result (2c 75% franked)
27-Feb-09
Dividend Ex-Dividend Date for Half Yearly Result (2c 75% franked)

Directors

Name
Position
J King
Director
P Young
Director
J B Fairfax
Director
N J Fairfax
Director
R Savage
Director
B McCarthy
Director
R C Corbett
Chairman
G Aherne
Director

Management

Name
Position
B McCarthy
CEO
S Narayan
CFO
J Matthews
CEO, Fairfax Digital
D Churchill
Managing Director, Victoria
P McLean
Group Executive Editor
J Hooke
Managing Director, NSW
B McCarthy
CEO and Managing Director

Substantial Shareholders

Name
% Holding
Commonwealth Bank
12.2
Marinya Media
10.4
National Australia Bank Limited Group
8.4
Maple Brown Abbott
8.0
Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc
5.1

Consensus Recommendation Summary


1

0

2

4

4
Sell Under Perf. Hold Out Perf. Buy

Number of Brokers in Recommendation Summary: 11

Consensus Earnings

FY10 FY11
Consensus EPS1 (c) 9.9 12.6
EPS Growth (%)   26.8
P/E Ratio (x) 17.2 13.5
P/E Rel. All Ords (x) 1.17 1.11
P/E Rel. Sector (x) 1.04 1.00
Number of Brokers in Earnings Survey: 11 11

1. Consensus EPS is generally "reported EPS" but will vary as to whether it is on a pre or post preference earnings basis. This number is not always on the same basis as the Aegis EPS.

Historical Forecast Earnings And Recommendations

Consensus Recommendations

Consensus information provided by Reuters.

Consensus EPS Forecasts 1

1. Consensus EPS is generally "reported EPS" but will vary as to whether it is on a pre or post preference earnings basis. This number is not always on the same basis as the Aegis EPS.

Peer Recommendation Comparison

  P/E (x) EPS Chg (%) Dividend Yield (%) MktCap ($M) Price ($) Consensus Rec
  09A 09A 09A    
Fairfax Media 14.1 (51) 1.2 4,057 1.70 Out Perf.
Consolidated Media Holdings 25.1 (19) 5.4 2,092 3.03 Out Perf.
WA Newspapers 15.3 (22) 4.7 1,538 6.99 Hold
APN News & Media n/a n/a n/a 1,381 2.27 Out Perf.
REA Group n/a n/a n/a 1,173 8.73 Out Perf.

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